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Отчет Thomson Reuters: наиболее востребованными к 2020 году могут стать новые лекарства производства Abbvie, Gilead, Intercept и Merck


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Wide_thomson-reuters-predstavil-naibolee-pers

Согласно отчету компании Thomson Reuters, основными тенденциями фармацевтической отрасли в 2016 году будут усиление акцента на разработке лекарств для редких заболеваний и доступности лекарственных средств. Также сохранится ключевой тренд на разработку препаратов для лечения ВИЧ и вируса гепатита С. В настоящий момент разрабатываются семь новых лекарственных препаратов, объем годовых продаж которых к 2020 году достигнет 1 млрд долларов США. Об этом сообщается в пресс-релизе, поступившем в редакцию РИА АМИ.

Москва, Россия, 4 февраля 2016 года — Intellectual Property (IP) and Science, подразделение компании Thomson Reuters, ведущего мирового поставщика аналитической информации для бизнеса и профессионалов, опубликовало отчет «Перспективные лекарства 2016», в котором исследуются данные фармацевтической отрасли с целью определить новые лекарственные препараты с максимальным рыночным потенциалом. Согласно отчету, в настоящий момент разрабатываются семь новых лекарственных препаратов, которые должны появиться на рынке в этом году. Ожидается, что до 2020 года объем их годовых продаж достигнет 1 млрд долларов США, а годовые продажи двух из них даже способны превысить 2 млрд долларов.

Два новых препарата, чей годовой объем продаж по прогнозам должен превысить 2 млрд долларов к 2020 году, — это лекарство от хронической печеночной недостаточности производства Intercept Pharmaceuticals и Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma с химическим названием «обетихолевая кислота», а также средство для лечения инфекции ВИЧ-1 производства Gilead Sciences и Japan Tobacco, на базе химических веществ эмтрицитабина и тенофовир-алафенамида. В 2016 году сохранится ключевая рыночная тенденция: производить препараты с более удобной фиксированной дозировкой для перорального приема, направленные на лечение ВИЧ и вируса гепатита С.

В то время как эффективность научно-исследовательских проектов фарма-компаний сокращается, фармацевтическая отрасль все чаще обращаются к разработке препаратов для лечения редких заболеваний. Всего в мире насчитывается около 350 миллионов людей, которые страдают около 7 тысячами различных наименований редких заболеваний.

Традиционно фармацевтическая отрасль не уделяла много внимания разработке лекарств для лечения редких заболеваний, поскольку ограничены как осведомленность о причинах, патофизиологии и эпидемиологии этих болезней, так и круг больных. Но по мере того, как потенциальная выгода для фармацевтических компаний от продажи лекарств для лечения редких заболеваний становится все более очевидной, игроки фарма-рынка выводят на рынок все больше подобных препаратов.

Согласно отчету Thomson Reuters, в 2016 году также ожидается усиление тренда на давление на фармацевтические компании в отношении доступа к лекарствам и ценовой политики компаний. Причем аналитики считают, что этот тренд будет прослеживаться по всему миру, а не только в США и Европе.

В анализе особо выделены семь препаратов — потенциальных хитов продаж. Перечень лекарств представлен по убыванию от максимального прогнозируемого объема продаж:

 

Рейтинг (по максимальному прогнозируемому объему продаж к 2020 году)

Лекарство

Заболевание

Фармацевтическая компания

Прогнозируемый объем продаж к 2020 году (в млрд долларов США)

1

Обетихолевая кислота

Хроническая печеночная недостаточность, преимущественно билиарный первичный цирроз печени

Intercept Pharmaceuticals и Sumitomo Dainippon Pharma

2,621

2

Эмтрицитабин + тенофовир-алафенамид (F/TAF)

Инфицирование ВИЧ-1

Gilead Sciences и Japan Tobacco

2,006

3

Тенофовир-алафенамид + эмтрицитабин + рилпивирин (R/F/TAF)

Инфицирование ВИЧ-1

Gilead Sciences и Janssen R&D

1,572

4

MK-5172A (гразопревир + элбасвир)

Инфицирование вирусом гепатита С

Merck & Co

1,537

5

Венетоклакс 

Хронический лимфолейкоз

Abbvie

1,477

6

Нуплазид (пимавансерин)

Психоз, вызванный болезнью Паркинсона 

ACADIA Pharmaceuticals

1,409

7

Уптрави (селексипаг)

Легочная артериальная гипертензия

Nippon Shinyaku Co и Actelion

1,268

 

«Разработка новых лекарственных препаратов и их стоимость окажутся в центре внимания не только фармацевтических компаний, но также инвесторов, регуляторов и политиков. Ведь в этом году в США пройдут очередные президентские выборы, — заявил Ричард Хэррисон (Richard Harrison), директор по науке подразделения научных исследований и интеллектуальной собственности Thomson Reuters. — Учитывая рост стоимости услуг здравоохранения по всему миру, потребность доказать свою значимость станет как никогда актуальной для фармацевтических компаний. Весьма вероятно, что в этих дискуссиях заметную роль будут играть именно указанные семь препаратов».

После точного прогноза относительно 11 новых лекарств, которые появились на рынке в 2015 году и, предположительно, все еще могут стать наиболее востребованными к 2019-му, отчет «Перспективные лекарства» представляет исследование новой линейки важных препаратов в 2016 году.

Чтобы спрогнозировать появление новых лекарств, которые, как ожидается, возглавят продажи и обладают потенциалом стать хитами (то есть превысить годовой объем продаж в 1 млрд долларов) к 2020 году, аналитики Thomson Reuters использовали Cortellis™ Competitive Intelligence — основной источник информации фармацевтической индустрии о процессах разработки лекарственных препаратов, сделках, патентах и компаниях.

Источник: ria-ami.ru

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